Who will win the Oscars? Here are our picks

3+
oscar-predictions-2019 (1)

Awards season finally comes to a curious, confounding and sometimes confusing end this Sunday when the Oscars announce their winners at the Dolby Theater.

This year, there is no host (may come to regret that, Kevin Hart detractors) for Hollywood’s version of The Super Bowl. And in a Black History Month where a notable number of nominated films celebrated diversity, we have to somehow escape the stench of the Jussie Smollett fiasco of the last three weeks.

More so, we have no clear-cut favorite. None of the films nominated have pulled out in front by winning multiple awards from the guilds… except for Bo Burnham’s Eighth Grade.

Eighth Grade didn’t even get one Oscar nom!

After analyzing all of the winners from other shows during this awards season as well as looking into crystal balls, Magic 8 balls and consulting Alexa, I have come up with my selections for the show which airs this Sunday.

But these predictions come with an asterisk. For every predicted winner, there are one or two other selections that can spoil the proud walk up to receive the gold.

So, here we go

 
THE NOMINEES

BEST PICTURE:
   BLACK PANTHER
   BLACKKKLANSMAN
   BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
   THE FAVOURITE
   GREEN BOOK
   ROMA
   A STAR IS BORN
   VICE

My pick: ROMA
 
 

DIRECTING:
   Spike Lee, BLACKKKLANSMAN
   JPaweł Pawlikowski, COLD WAR
   Yorgos Lanthimos, THE FAVOURITED
   Alfonso Cuarón, ROMA
   Adam McKay, VICE

My pick: Alfonso Cuarón, ROMA

 
 

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE:
   Christian Bale, VICE
   Bradley Cooper, A STAR IS BORN
   Willem Dafoe, AT ETERNITY’S GATE
   Rami Malek, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
   Viggo Mortenson, GREEN BOOK

My pick: Rami Malek, BOHEHMIAN RHAPSODY
 
 

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
   Maherhsala Ali, GREEN BOOK
   Adam Driver, BLACKKKLANSMAN
   Sam Elliott, A STAR IS BORN
   Richard E. Grant, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?
   Sam Rockwell, VICE

My pick: Mahershala Ali, GREEN BOOK
 
 

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
   Yalitza Aparico, ROMA
   Glenn Close, THE WIFE
   Olivia Colman, THE FAVOURITE
   Lady GaGa, A STAR IS BORN
   Melissa McCarthy, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?

My pick: Glenn Close, THE WIFE
 
 

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
   Amy Adams, VICE
   Marina De Tavira, ROMA
   Regina King, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
   Emma Stone, THE FAVOURITE
   Rachel Weisz, THE FAVOURITE

My pick: Regina King, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
 
 

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
   Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, THE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS
   Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee, BLACKKKLANSMAN
   Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?
   Barry Jenkins, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
   Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters, A STAR IS BORN

My pick: Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee, BLACKKKLANSMAN
 
 

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
   Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, THE FAVOURITE
   Paul Schrader, FIRST REFORMED
   Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly, GREEN BOOK
   Alfonso Cuarón, ROMA
   Adam McKay, VICE

My pick: Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara, THE FAVOURITE
 
 

ALSO READ: Best seats in town: Siskel Center Oscar Viewing Party
 
 

CINEMATOGRAPHY
   Łukasz Żal, COLD WAR
   Robbie Ryan, THE FAVOURITE
   Caleb Deschanel, NEVER LOOK AWAY
   Alfonso Cuarón, ROMA
   Matthew Libatique, A STAR IS BORN

My pick: Alfonso Cuarón, ROMA
 
 

FILM EDITING
   Barry Alexander Brown, BLACKKKLANSMAN
   John Ottman, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
   Yorgos Mavropsaridis,THE FAVOURITE
   Patrick J. Don Vito, GREEN BOOK
   Hank Corwin, VICE

My pick: John Ottman, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
 
 

COSTUME DESIGN
   Mary ZophresTHE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS
    Ruth Carter, BLACK PANTHER
    Sandy Powell, THE FAVOURITE
    Sandy Powell, MARY POPPINS RETURNS
    Alexandra Byrne, MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS

My pick: Sandy Powell, THE FAVOURITE
 
 

PRODUCTION DESIGN
   Production Design: Hannah Beachler; Set Decoration: Jay Hart, BLACK PANTHER
   Production Design: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton, THE FAVOURITE
   Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Kathy Lucas, FIRST MAN
   Production Design: John Myhre; Set Decoration: Gordon Sim, MARY POPPINS RETURNS
   Production Design: Eugenio Caballero; Set Decoration: Bárbara Enríquez, ROMA

My pick: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton, THE FAVOURITE
 
 

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
   Göran Lundström and Pamela Goldammer,BORDER
   Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher and Jessica Brooks, MARY QUEEN OF SCOTS
   Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe and Patricia Dehaney, VICE

My pick: Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe and Patricia Dehaney, VICE
 
 

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
   Ludwig Goransson, BLACK PANTHER
   Terence Blanchard, BLACKKKLANSMAN
    Nicholas Britell, IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
   Alexandre Desplat, ISLE OF DOGS
   Marc Shaiman, MARY POPPINS RETURNS

My pick: Ludwig Goransson, BLACK PANTHER
 
 

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
   Music by Kendrick Lamar, Mark “Soundwave” Spears and Anthony “Top Dawg” Tiffith; Lyric by Kendrick Lamar, SZA and Anthony “Top Dawg” Tiffith, “ALL THE STARS”, BLACK PANTHER
   Diane Warren, “I’LL FIGHT”, RBG
   Music by Marc Shaiman; Lyric by Scott Wittman and Marc Shaiman, “THE PLACE WHERE LOST THINGS GO”, MARY POPPINS
   Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando and Andrew Wyatt, “SHALLOW”, A STAR IS BORN
   Music and Lyric by Gillian Welch and David Rawlings, “WHEN A COWBOY TRADES HIS SPURS FOR WINGS”, THE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS

My pick: Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando and Andrew Wyatt, “SHALLOW”, A STAR IS BORN
 
 

SOUND EDITING
   Benjamin A. Burtt and Steve Boeddeker, BLACK PANTHER
   John Warhurst and Nina Hartstone, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
   Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan, FIRST MAN
   Ethan Van der Ryn and Erik Aadahl, A QUIET PLACE
   Sergio Díaz and Skip Lievsay, ROMA

My pick: John Warhurst and Nina Hartstone, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
 
 

SOUND MIXING
   Steve Boeddeker, Brandon Proctor and Peter Devlin, BLACK PANTHER
   Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin and John Casali, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
   Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Ai-Ling Lee and Mary H. Ellis, FIRST MAN
   Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan and José Antonio García, ROMA
   Tom Ozanich, Dean Zupancic, Jason Ruder and Steve Morrow, A STAR IS BORN

My pick: Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin and John Casali, BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
 

 

VISUAL EFFECTS
   AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR
   CHRISTOPHER ROBIN
   FIRST MAN
   READY PLAYER ONE
   SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY

My pick: FIRST MAN
 
 

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
   INCREDIBLES 2
   ISLE OF DOGS
   MIRAI
   RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET
   SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE

My pick: SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE
 
 

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
   CAPERNAUM, Lebanon
   COLD WAR, Poland
   NEVER LOOK AWAY, Germany
   ROMA, Mexico
   SHOPLIFTERS, Japan

My pick: ROMA, Mexico
 
 

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)
   FREE SOLO
   HALE COUNTY THIS MORNING,THIS EVENING
   MINDING THE GAP
   OF FATHERS AND SONS
   RBG

My pick: FREE SOLO
 
 

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)
   BLACK SHEEP
   END GAME
   LIFEBOAT
   A NIGHT AT THE GARDEN
   PERIOD. END OF SENTENCE.

My pick: PERIOD. END OF SENTENCE.
 
 

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
   ANIMAL BEHAVIOUR
   BAO
   LATE AFTERNOON
   ONE SMALL STEP
   WEEKENDS

My pick: BAO
 
 

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
   DETAINMENT
   FAUVE
   MARGUERITE
   MOTHER
   SKIN

My pick: MARGUERITE

Agree? Disagree? This year we have given you your own handy, dandy scorecard that you can print out and keep track. Have fun!

 
The 91st Oscars will air live on ABC on Sunday, February 24, 2018 8 pm EST/7 pm CST/5 pm PST.

3+
BackTalk