It’s finally here — the end to a very long and strange and god knows what else kind of film year. We are happy to finally say good-bye to the 2020 movie season which culminates with the Academy Awards. We are tired. Run down. But vaccinated! So we are ready to sit down and make our Oscar predictions about the multitude of films we streamed last year.
Now that the Guilds’ awards, and every other awards show known to mankind, is over, it’s time to finally weigh in on whom we think we take home a little gold man. This is where we struggle, often times voting with our hearts rather than our heads.
Mank is nominated for ten awards. Will it actually take home any or be snubbed? One thing we can be sure of — for the first time ever Reel 360 is a part of the press corp covering the Oscars. We are honored.
Here is the Reel 360 team’s Oscar Predictions:
Best motion picture of the year
- “The Father” David Parfitt, Jean-Louis Livi and Philippe Carcassonne, Producers
- “Judas and the Black Messiah” Shaka King, Charles D. King and Ryan Coogler, Producers
- “Mank” Ceán Chaffin, Eric Roth and Douglas Urbanski, Producers
- “Minari” Christina Oh, Producer
- “Nomadland” Frances McDormand, Peter Spears, Mollye Asher, Dan Janvey and Chloé Zhao, Producers
- “Promising Young Woman” Ben Browning, Ashley Fox, Emerald Fennell and Josey McNamara, Producers
- “Sound of Metal” Bert Hamelinck and Sacha Ben Harroche, Producers
- “The Trial of the Chicago 7” Marc Platt and Stuart Besser, Producers
Colin: After winning The Spirit Award last night, and almost every other picture, Chloé Zhao’s opus about grief, Nomadland, seems like the easiest pic here. Also winning the Producer’s Guild, Golden Globes and Critic’s Choice, makes the film the one to beat.
Joia: The Sound of Metal is my pick for both Best Picture and Best Original Screenplay because the film is just so disturbing and anxiety inducing as the main character loses his hearing.
Achievement in directing
- “Another Round” Thomas Vinterberg
- “Mank” David Fincher
- “Minari” Lee Isaac Chung
- “Nomadland” Chloé Zhao
- “Promising Young Woman” Emerald Fennell
Colin: After making history at the Director’s Guild Awards, there is no way Chloé Zhao walks away without winning Best Director. She will be only the second female to win in this category, following Kathryn Bigelow’s Oscar for 2009’s The Hurt Locker. And the Academy loves to make social statements. What better way than to honor an Asian woman after slew of hate acts and crimes against them?
Joia: Promising Young Woman was beautifully shot with the pastel elements and Emerald Fennell deserves Best Director.
Performance by an actor in a leading role
- Riz Ahmed in “Sound of Metal”
- Chadwick Boseman in “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
- Anthony Hopkins in “The Father”
- Gary Oldman in “Mank”
- Steven Yeun in “Minari”
Colin: Chadwick Boseman was acting with Stage 4 Cancer – not just in Ma Bailey’s Black Bottom, but in Da’ 5 Bloods and Avengers: Endgame. This is a lock as he has won every acting award except for the BAFTA, losing out to Anthony Hopkins which is understandable. His wife will accept and we will all collectively cry. Easiest bet of the night.
Joia: No other actors have a chance at Best Actor against Chadwick Boseman’s mind blowing performance in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.
Performance by an actress in a leading role
- Viola Davis in “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
- Andra Day in “The United States vs. Billie Holiday”
- Vanessa Kirby in “Pieces of a Woman”
- Frances McDormand in “Nomadland”
- Carey Mulligan in “Promising Young Woman”
Colin: For her mesmerizing performance of a woman seeking revenge against toxic white male society, Carey Mulligan should win Best Actress. Although Viola Davis could upset as she did win the Screen Actors Guild Award. Also, don’t rule out Frances McDormand. Everyone loves an acceptance speech from her.
Joia: Carey Mulligan will win for her stellar performance as lead Actress.
Performance by an actor in a supporting role
- Sacha Baron Cohen in “The Trial of the Chicago 7”
- Daniel Kaluuya in “Judas and the Black Messiah”
- Leslie Odom, Jr. in “One Night in Miami…”
- Paul Raci in “Sound of Metal”
- Lakeith Stanfield in “Judas and the Black Messiah”
Colin: There hasn’t been much talk or heat lately about Judas and the Black Messiah, but that doesn’t lessen Daniel Kaluuya’s performance as Fred Hampton, Jr. I expect him to take home a little gold man Sunday. Sound of Metal’s Paul Raci, who just won a Spirit Award for Supporting Male, could upset.
Joia: Daniel Kaluuya was so charismatic and enchanting in his role in Judas and the Black Messiah and he should take home Best Supporting Actor.
Performance by an actress in a supporting role
- Maria Bakalova in “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan”
- Glenn Close in “Hillbilly Elegy”
- Olivia Colman in “The Father”
- Amanda Seyfried in “Mank”
- Yuh-Jung Youn in “Minari”
Colin: After her win at SAG and BAFTA trophy, 73-year-old Youn—known as the Korean Meryl Streep— should win here. And as good as it is, Minari needs a win. It will happen here. Even though Hillbilly Elegy wasn’t great, Glenn Close could upset here.
Joia: Amanda Seyfried was completely enchanting in Mank and she is my pick for Best Supporting Actress.
- “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm: Delivery of Prodigious Bribe to American Regime for Make Benefit Once Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan” Screenplay by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Peter Baynham & Erica Rivinoja & Dan Mazer & Jena Friedman & Lee Kern; Story by Sacha Baron Cohen & Anthony Hines & Dan Swimer & Nina Pedrad
- “The Father” Screenplay by Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller
- “Nomadland” Written for the screen by Chloé Zhao
- “One Night in Miami…” Screenplay by Kemp Powers
- “The White Tigers” Written for the screen by Ramin Bahrani
Colin: Chloé Zhao was excluded from the field at the WGA Awards, but she is not here. This American neo-Western is refreshing and viscerally authentic. Expect her to win here. That said, Borat, which did win the WGA Award for Best Adapted could upset here.
- “Judas and the Black Messiah” Screenplay by Will Berson & Shaka King; Story by Will Berson & Shaka King and Kenny Lucas & Keith Lucas
- “Minari” Written by Lee Isaac Chung
- “Promising Young Woman” Written by Emerald Fennell
- “Sound of Metal” Screenplay by Darius Marder & Abraham Marder; Story by Darius Marder & Derek Cianfrance
- “The Trial of the Chicago 7” Written by Aaron Sorkin
Colin: Emerald Fennell won the WGA Award. This makes her the most likely candidate to win. However, Aaron Sorkin is like betting against Tom Brady. You don’t… most of the time. I’m sticking with the WGA winner here.
Joia: Emerald Fennell won the WGA Award, which makes her the one to beat. If she takes a gold man, she would be the first woman to win in the category since Diablo Cody in 2008 for Juno. She won’t win Best Director, so look for her to win here.
Best animated feature film of the year
- “Onward” Dan Scanlon and Kori Rae
- “Over the Moon” Glen Keane, Gennie Rim and Peilin Chou
- “A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon” Richard Phelan, Will Becher and Paul Kewley
- “Soul” Pete Docter and Dana Murray
- “Wolfwalkers” Tomm Moore, Ross Stewart, Paul Young and Stéphan Roelants
Colin: Soul was not only one of the best animated films of the year. It was one of the best films of the year and the best film Pixar has done in years. Look for Pete Docter’s and Kemp Powers’ powerfully funny, emotional ride to take home Best Animated film.
Joia: Soul was a much needed treat we all enjoyed when it came out and is my pick for Best Animated film.
And the rest… Predicted winners in bold.
Achievement in cinematography
- “Judas and the Black Messiah” Sean Bobbitt
- “Mank” Erik Messerschmidt
- “News of the World” Dariusz Wolski
- “Nomadland” Joshua James Richards
- “The Trial of the Chicago 7” Phedon Papamichael
Achievement in costume design
- “Emma” Alexandra Byrne
- “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” Ann Roth
- “Mank” Trish Summerville
- “Mulan” Bina Daigeler
- “Pinocchio” Massimo Cantini Parrini
Best documentary feature
- “Collective” Alexander Nanau and Bianca Oana
- “Crip Camp” Nicole Newnham, Jim LeBrecht and Sara Bolder
- “The Mole Agent” Maite Alberdi and Marcela Santibáñez
- “My Octopus Teacher” Pippa Ehrlich, James Reed and Craig Foster
- “Time” Garrett Bradley, Lauren Domino and Kellen Quinn
Best documentary short subject
- “Colette” Anthony Giacchino and Alice Doyard
- “A Concerto Is a Conversation” Ben Proudfoot and Kris Bowers
- “Do Not Split” Anders Hammer and Charlotte Cook
- “Hunger Ward” Skye Fitzgerald and Michael Scheuerman
- “A Love Song for Latasha” Sophia Nahli Allison and Janice Duncan
Achievement in film editing
- “The Father” Yorgos Lamprinos
- “Nomadland” Chloé Zhao
- “Promising Young Woman” Frédéric Thoraval
- “Sound of Metal” Mikkel E. G. Nielsen
- “The Trial of the Chicago 7” Alan Baumgarten
Best international feature film of the year
- “Another Round” Denmark
- “Better Days” Hong Kong
- “Collective” Romania
- “The Man Who Sold His Skin” Tunisia
- “Quo Vadis, Aida?” Bosnia and Herzegovina
Achievement in makeup and hairstyling
- “Emma” Marese Langan, Laura Allen and Claudia Stolze
- “Hillbilly Elegy” Eryn Krueger Mekash, Matthew Mungle and Patricia Dehaney
- “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” Sergio Lopez-Rivera, Mia Neal and Jamika Wilson
- “Mank” Gigi Williams, Kimberley Spiteri and Colleen LaBaff
- “Pinocchio” Mark Coulier, Dalia Colli and Francesco Pegoretti
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)
- “Da 5 Bloods” Terence Blanchard
- “Mank” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
- “Minari” Emile Mosseri
- “News of the World” James Newton Howard
- “Soul” Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batiste
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)
- “Fight For You” from “Judas and the Black Messiah”
Music by H.E.R. and Dernst Emile II; Lyric by H.E.R. and Tiara Thomas
- “Hear My Voice” from “The Trial of the Chicago 7”
Music by Daniel Pemberton; Lyric by Daniel Pemberton and Celeste Waite
- “Husavik” from “Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga”
Music and Lyric by Savan Kotecha, Fat Max Gsus and Rickard Göransson
- “Io Sì (Seen)” from “The Life Ahead (La Vita Davanti a Se)”
Music by Diane Warren; Lyric by Diane Warren and Laura Pausini
- “Speak Now” from “One Night in Miami…”
Music and Lyric by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth
Achievement in production design
- “The Father” Production Design: Peter Francis; Set Decoration: Cathy Featherstone
- “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” Production Design: Mark Ricker; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara and Diana Stoughton
- “Mank” Production Design: Donald Graham Burt; Set Decoration: Jan Pascale
- “News of the World” Production Design: David Crank; Set Decoration: Elizabeth Keenan
- “Tenet” Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Kathy Lucas
Best animated short film
- “Burrow” Madeline Sharafian and Michael Capbarat
- “Genius Loci” Adrien Mérigeau and Amaury Ovise
- “If Anything Happens I Love You” Will McCormack and Michael Govier
- “Opera” Erick Oh
- “Yes-People” Gísli Darri Halldórsson and Arnar Gunnarsson
Best live action short film
- “Feeling Through” Doug Roland and Susan Ruzenski
- “The Letter Room” Elvira Lind and Sofia Sondervan
- “The Present” Farah Nabulsi
- “Two Distant Strangers” Travon Free and Martin Desmond Roe
- “White Eye” Tomer Shushan and Shira Hochman
ALSO READ: Nomadland takes top prize at Spirit Awards
Achievement in sound
- “Greyhound” Warren Shaw, Michael Minkler, Beau Borders and David Wyman
- “Mank” Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, David Parker, Nathan Nance and Drew Kunin
- “News of the World” Oliver Tarney, Mike Prestwood Smith, William Miller and John Pritchett
- “Soul” Ren Klyce, Coya Elliott and David Parker
- “Sound of Metal” Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michelle Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés and Phillip Bladh
Achievement in visual effects
- “Love and Monsters” Matt Sloan, Genevieve Camilleri, Matt Everitt and Brian Cox
- “The Midnight Sky” Matthew Kasmir, Christopher Lawrence, Max Solomon and David Watkins
- “Mulan” Sean Faden, Anders Langlands, Seth Maury and Steve Ingram
- “The One and Only Ivan” Nick Davis, Greg Fisher, Ben Jones and Santiago Colomo Martinez
- “Tenet” Andrew Jackson, David Lee, Andrew Lockley and Scott Fisher
The 93rd Oscars will be held on Sunday, April 25, 2021, at Union Station Los Angeles and the Dolby Theatre at Hollywood & Highland Center in Hollywood, and will be televised live on ABC at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT.
The Oscar broadcast also will be televised live in more than 225 countries and territories worldwide.
Reel 360 will be right there in the virtual press room covering who takes home that Oscar. And when it’s all said and done, it’s time for Emmy season!